Over 2.5 goals predictions for today
Every probability on this page comes from bookmaker prices with the margin removed, not from an opinion. 18+ only. A probability is not a certainty: check the match yourself before you bet.
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Santos Laguna W
Tijuana W
Sydney
Central Coast Mariners
Polessya
Veres Rivne
Ústí nad Labem
Viktoria Žižkov
Vysočina Jihlava
Karviná
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hammarby FF
IF Elfsborg
Silkeborg
Lyngby
HB Koge
Aalborg
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Castellón
Eibar
Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Ascoli
Palermo
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Standard Liege
SK Beveren
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town United
Derby
BoltonSpin for today's offer
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- 1. Bookmaker welcome offer
- 2. Tomorrow's over 2.5 predictions
- 3. Bookmaker welcome offer
- 4. High-scoring matches today
- 5. Bookmaker welcome offer
- 6. Best teams for over 2.5 goals
Best teams for over 2.5 goals playing today
| # | Team | Over 2.5 / matches | League | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Pontypridd Town | 10/12 (83%) | Wales · FAW Championship | Caerau (Ely) v Pontypridd Town |
| 2. | Puebla W | 10/13 (77%) | Mexico · Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca W v Puebla W |
| 3. | Independiente Petrolero | 18/24 (75%) | Bolivia · Primera División | Independiente Petrolero v Real Tomayapo |
| 4. | Atlético San Luis W | 9/13 (69%) | Mexico · Liga MX Femenil | Pumas UNAM W v Atlético San Luis W |
| 5. | Pachuca W | 9/13 (69%) | Mexico · Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca W v Puebla W |
| 6. | Pumas UNAM W | 8/13 (62%) | Mexico · Liga MX Femenil | Pumas UNAM W v Atlético San Luis W |
| 7. | Operario-PR | 22/36 (61%) | Brazil · Serie B | Operario-PR v Sport Recife |
| 8. | Caerau (Ely) | 7/12 (58%) | Wales · FAW Championship | Caerau (Ely) v Pontypridd Town |
| 9. | Internacional de Bogota | 22/38 (58%) | Colombia · Primera A | Chico v Internacional de Bogota |
| 10. | Union Santa Fe | 19/33 (58%) | Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina | Union Santa Fe v Velez Sarsfield |
| 11. | Fluminense | 19/33 (58%) | Brazil · Serie A | Vitoria v Fluminense |
| 12. | Sport Recife | 18/36 (50%) | Brazil · Serie B | Operario-PR v Sport Recife |
| 13. | Popayan | 15/32 (47%) | Colombia · Primera B | Popayan v Envigado |
| 14. | Real Tomayapo | 11/24 (46%) | Bolivia · Primera División | Independiente Petrolero v Real Tomayapo |
| 15. | Chico | 16/36 (44%) | Colombia · Primera A | Chico v Internacional de Bogota |
Top over 2.5 goals teams
| # | Team | League | Over 2.5 / matches | Goals per match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | América W | Mexico · Liga MX Femenil | 13/13 (100%) | 5.54 |
| 2. | Carmarthen Town | Wales · FAW Championship | 12/12 (100%) | 4.17 |
| 3. | FC Vaduz | Switzerland · Super League | 12/12 (100%) | 4.08 |
| 4. | FC Liefering | Austria · 2. Liga | 12/12 (100%) | 4.17 |
| 5. | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Israel · Ligat Ha'al | 10/10 (100%) | 3.90 |
| 6. | Wigan Athletic U21 | England · Professional Development League | 9/9 (100%) | 5.00 |
| 7. | Maccabi Haifa | Israel · Ligat Ha'al | 9/9 (100%) | 4.11 |
| 8. | PSS Sleman | Indonesia · Liga 1 | 8/8 (100%) | 3.38 |
| 9. | Castellón II | Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 | 8/8 (100%) | 3.62 |
| 10. | Al Sadd | Qatar · Stars League | 8/8 (100%) | 5.62 |
Top over 2.5 goals leagues
| # | League | Played | Over 2.5 / matches | Goals per match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Norway · NM Cupen | 111 | 91/111 (82%) | 4.67 |
| 2. | England · Premier League 2 Division One | 87 | 68/87 (78%) | 4.02 |
| 3. | Iceland · Cup | 72 | 56/72 (78%) | 4.58 |
| 4. | Germany · DFB Pokal - Women | 40 | 31/40 (78%) | 4.22 |
| 5. | Australia · Queensland NPL | 136 | 102/136 (75%) | 3.64 |
| 6. | Switzerland · Super League | 72 | 54/72 (75%) | 3.76 |
| 7. | Austria · Cup | 56 | 42/56 (75%) | 4.02 |
| 8. | England · Professional Development League | 69 | 51/69 (74%) | 4.01 |
| 9. | Iceland · Úrvalsdeild | 162 | 118/162 (73%) | 3.99 |
| 10. | International · UEFA Youth League | 132 | 96/132 (73%) | 3.73 |
High-scoring fixtures this weekend
Saturday and Sunday fixtures ranked by how often each team's matches have gone over 2.5 goals this season. These are frequencies, not probabilities.
| Kick-off | Match | Home side, over 2.5 | Away side, over 2.5 | Average of both |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur U21 v Chelsea U21 England · Premier League 2 Division One | 5/6 (83%) | 6/6 (100%) | 92% | |
| FC Vaduz v FC Sion Switzerland · Super League | 12/12 (100%) | 9/12 (75%) | 88% | |
| Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles Netherlands · Eredivisie | 10/11 (91%) | 9/11 (82%) | 86% | |
| Moss v Ranheim Norway · 1. Division | 24/29 (83%) | 26/29 (90%) | 86% | |
| Bulle v Zürich II Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion | 11/14 (79%) | 13/14 (93%) | 86% | |
| Monza v Atalanta Italy · Serie A | 9/10 (90%) | 8/10 (80%) | 85% | |
| Carmarthen Town v Aberystwyth Town Wales · FAW Championship | 12/12 (100%) | 7/10 (70%) | 85% | |
| Inter Bratislava v Považská Bystrica Slovakia · 2. liga | 12/15 (80%) | 13/15 (87%) | 83% | |
| Preußen Münster v MSV Duisburg Germany · 3. Liga | 9/12 (75%) | 11/12 (92%) | 83% | |
| Pioneros de Cancún v Reboceros La Piedad Mexico · Primera Premier | 7/9 (78%) | 8/9 (89%) | 83% | |
| Eastern District v Wofoo Tai Po Hong Kong · Premier League | 6/6 (100%) | 4/6 (67%) | 83% | |
| Llanera v Bergantiños Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 | 8/9 (89%) | 7/9 (78%) | 83% |
How the over 2.5 goals predictions are made
- Every morning we read the over/under 2.5 goals prices of the day's matches at low-margin reference bookmakers such as Pinnacle.
- We remove the bookmaker's margin from those prices. What is left is the market's own probability that the match has three goals or more.
- We keep the matches where over 2.5 goals is the more likely side and where the price at the bookmaker shown is at least 1.50, then publish the twenty highest probabilities.
- After the final whistle, the score at 90 minutes is added next to each match.
The statistics tables are separate from the predictions: they count final scores from 30,349 finished matches in 238 leagues this season.
How often do matches finish with over 2.5 goals?
In the 30,349 finished matches of our database this season, 54% had three goals or more. The share changes a lot from one league to another: the league table on this page shows the extremes.
What does the probability next to a match mean?
It is the chance the betting market gives to three goals or more, once the bookmaker's margin is removed. A match shown at 62% is expected to stay under 2.5 goals roughly four times in ten.
Which statistics matter most for an over 2.5 goals bet?
The goals per match of the league, how often each team's matches go over 2.5 goals at home and away, and the number of matches behind those figures. A rate built on five matches says little.
Does home advantage change an over 2.5 goals bet?
It changes who scores more than how many goals are scored. That is why the league pages split each team's over 2.5 rate between home and away matches.
Should I bet over 2.5 goals every time two high-scoring teams meet?
No. The bookmaker already knows both teams score a lot and lowers the price. Compare the probability with the odds: at odds of 1.50 a bet needs to land two times in three just to break even.